This is great, thank you! What are your thoughts on when/how that reflection should happen in practice? One issue I often find is the 'reflection' is in a way folded in with the decision-making process. i.e. if I'm making a particular decision then I've already decided that this is the best decision given the incomplete information and therefore what is there to reflect on?
Perhaps I'm thinking about this the wrong way. Is there some useful 'gap' between decision and outcome? With FPL for example I suppose we could use the deadline (decision is made before the deadline... time passes/sleep on it, etc... deadline gone but pre-outcome < reflect here).
I think the Reflection section in the main decision framework might clear some of this up! I talk about a couple of different kinds of reflection in that. Let me know if it doesn’t make the idea clearer!
I would have thought there'll be a lot of appetite, but I'm a bit of a nerd for this stuff. I'm particularly interested in how to go about reviewing the quality of decisions after the event, while avoiding the trap of focusing on outcomes.
I am currently ranked in the top 20k globally in my first season and realized this exact idea that the game is an excellent, low risk, lab to evaluate my decision making skills and its actually gotten me quite interested in decision science.
Love these thought process articles. Lots to think about rather than just advice on teams/players.
This is great, thank you! What are your thoughts on when/how that reflection should happen in practice? One issue I often find is the 'reflection' is in a way folded in with the decision-making process. i.e. if I'm making a particular decision then I've already decided that this is the best decision given the incomplete information and therefore what is there to reflect on?
Perhaps I'm thinking about this the wrong way. Is there some useful 'gap' between decision and outcome? With FPL for example I suppose we could use the deadline (decision is made before the deadline... time passes/sleep on it, etc... deadline gone but pre-outcome < reflect here).
I think the Reflection section in the main decision framework might clear some of this up! I talk about a couple of different kinds of reflection in that. Let me know if it doesn’t make the idea clearer!
Yes, thank you! Much clearer :)
(I will now engage in the third type.. and reflect on the decision to comment before reading a fundamental post!)
Very interesting article. Stephen. Do you have a description of how you apply the decision framework specifically for FPL?
I think I may write this before next season if there is enough appetite for it!
I would have thought there'll be a lot of appetite, but I'm a bit of a nerd for this stuff. I'm particularly interested in how to go about reviewing the quality of decisions after the event, while avoiding the trap of focusing on outcomes.
I am currently ranked in the top 20k globally in my first season and realized this exact idea that the game is an excellent, low risk, lab to evaluate my decision making skills and its actually gotten me quite interested in decision science.